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1.
Resour Policy ; 74: 102281, 2021 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1336880

ABSTRACT

This study explores potential non-linear and asymmetric interdependencies between oil price shocks and leading cryptocurrency returns. In addition, this research splits changes in crude oil prices into three relevant components: risk, demand, and supply shocks. By applying the NARDL methodology, this paper examines the connection between oil and cryptocurrencies in the period between November 20, 2018 and June 30, 2020, conducting a study of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results confirm that demand shocks show the greatest connection with the returns of the cryptocurrencies analysed. In addition, both short-term and long-term results show a greater interdependence between oil and cryptocurrencies in periods of economic turbulence, such as the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus crisis.

2.
Technol Forecast Soc Change ; 172: 121025, 2021 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1309393

ABSTRACT

This research explores the impact of COVID-19-related media coverage on the dynamic return and volatility connectedness of the three dominant cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP)) and the fiat currencies of the euro, GBP and Chinese yuan. The sample period covers the first and second devasting waves of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and ranges from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020. The dynamic return and volatility connectedness measures are estimated using the time varying parameter-VAR approach. Our return connectedness analysis shows that the media coverage index (only before the first wave) and the cryptocurrencies are the net transmitters of shocks while the fiat currencies are the net receivers of shocks. Similar results are obtained in terms of volatility, except for the euro, which shows a clear net receiver profile in January and February. This fiat currency (the euro) became a net transmitter in March and during the first wave of the COVID-19 crisis, which possibly shows the virulence of the pandemic on the European continent. Moreover, the most relevant differences between the net dynamic (return and volatility) connectedness of these two groups of currencies are focused on the beginning of the sample period, just before the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic crisis, although some differences are observed during the first and second waves of the coronavirus outbreak.

3.
International Review of Financial Analysis ; : 101773, 2021.
Article in English | ScienceDirect | ID: covidwho-1201105

ABSTRACT

This article explores asymmetric interdependencies between the twelve largest cryptocurrency and Gold returns, over the period January 2015 – June 2020 within a NARDL (nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag) framework. We focus our analysis on the epicentre of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic from March 2020 to June 2020. During this crisis, cryptocurrencies are more correlated and more of them have returns that are cointegrated with Gold returns. Moreover, cryptocurrencies develop a long-term as well as a short-term asymmetric response to Gold returns during the COVID-19 period where most cryptocurrency returns respond more to negative changes and exhibit more persistence with Gold returns. Overall, our most important result confirms that the connectedness between Gold price returns and cryptocurrency returns increase in economic turmoil, such as during the COVID-19 crisis.

4.
Sustainability ; 13(7):3836, 2021.
Article in English | MDPI | ID: covidwho-1159497

ABSTRACT

This paper explores the role of social media in tourist sentiment analysis. To do this, it describes previous studies that have carried out tourist sentiment analysis using social media data, before analyzing changes in tourists’ sentiments and behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the case study, which focuses on Andalusia, the changes experienced by the tourism sector in the southern Spanish region as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic are assessed using the Andalusian Tourism Situation Survey (ECTA). This information is then compared with data obtained from a sentiment analysis based on the social network Twitter. On the basis of this comparative analysis, the paper concludes that it is possible to identify and classify tourists’ perceptions using sentiment analysis on a mass scale with the help of statistical software (RStudio and Knime). The sentiment analysis using Twitter data correlates with and is supplemented by information from the ECTA survey, with both analyses showing that tourists placed greater value on safety and preferred to travel individually to nearby, less crowded destinations since the pandemic began. Of the two analytical tools, sentiment analysis can be carried out on social media on a continuous basis and offers cost savings.

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